While the rise of right-wing populism is undeniably on the rise, what we began to wonder is: outside of the end results, are there patterns between the voters in the recent national elections in the U.K., U.S., France, and Germany?
An update on earlier research revealing just how many Americans are changing their consumer behavior for political reasons.
The last five months have felt a little busier than usual for most people, so we took a look at how Americans feelings about the state of the economy have changed over the last eight months.
Using our PAAR Model results, we will try to gain a sense of why the election ended as it did.
American companies are now dealing with changes based solely on a new political landscape, and non-profits are not immune from these changes.
Have people really changed their buying or giving habits since the election?
The results of our PAAR model for the 2016 Senate Races show that the election map was not nearly as promising for Democrats as they had previously hoped.
Our Trendency data shines a light on key moments in this year's election cycle and how they impacted and ultimately determined the outcome of the election.
The second installment of our analysis into this year's election results.
Before we put all the blame on our elected officials, let’s always remember - we are very difficult to represent within the two-party framework.
Take a look at our model for the House of Representatives for the 2016 election.
It’s been a common refrain virtually every election cycle: this is the year that a third party will make noise in the presidential election. Jill Stein of the Green Party is thought to be able to take away disaffected Bernie-or-Bust Democrats, but the most breathless coverage has been reserved for Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party. Will 2016 be the year of the Independent candidate?
Now that Trump is moving on to the next phase of the election cycle, there has been concern among both Democrats and Republicans about what a Trump presidency would look like. Most pundits have become a little gun shy when it comes to Trump predictions, while some have even gone as far as to say that he exceeded expectations in the primaries and there is a good chance he could do it again in the general. Which got us thinking- does he actually have a shot?
Typically, we don’t spend a lot of time worrying about what the Republican Party is doing. However, this year, the dynamics on the right side of the aisle are beyond interesting. We therefore decided to look at the potential outcomes of the primary and the possible ways the different factions of the Republican coalition could deal with Trump – both at the Convention as well as in November if he becomes the nominee.
Over the last several months, frequent headlines point to the increasing number of Independent voters in the country as a tell-tale sign that more of the American electorate is up for grabs. On the other hand, evidence shows that many “Independents” are in fact ideologically conservative and likely to be disaffected Republicans.
Both analyses miss a vital group: True “Moderate Independents” – voters who do not align themselves with either party and also consider themselves ideologically between the two parties. Although they comprise just 5 percent of the electorate, they also promise to have outsized impact in 2016.
Read more here.